Reece, Tom - 25IDL G4 wrote:

>
> From: "Reece, Tom - 25IDL G4" <g4mntofcr@...>
>
> OK I got one for Dean and John.
>
> We all know that mobs get a second resist check against pixie strike and
> lullaby. Lets say for the first check they get a 25% (1 out of 4) chance to
> resist and a 33% (1 out of 3) chance for the second resist. Whats the
> overall chance that they make just one of the two resists?
>

Since a failure on the first resist is a total failure, distinguishing between
failure/success and failure/failure isn't important. (In fact, I doubt that
they even make the second resist check if the first one fails - what would
be the point?) The numbers are:

Failure on the first: 1/4
Success/Failure: 3/4 times 1/3, or 1/4
Success/Success: 3/4 times 2/3, or 1/2

Failure on the first breaks down as:
Failure/Success: 1/4 times 2/3, or 1/6
Failure/Failure: 1/4 times 1/3, or 1/12
These add up to 3/12, or the 1/4 shown above.

As required, these add up to 1.

50/50 shot of failure. Yucch.

Kenross Cantoforjado, 40 songs, Innoruuk